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An agent-based model that simulates COVID-19 transmission considering policy restrictions, behavioral and disease-resistance factors as control measures to prevent further transmission of the virus. Additionally, a multi-objective optimization for equitable vaccine distribution can be applied.

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JomaMinoza/Bangsamoro-ABM-COVID19-Vaccine-Distribution-Optimization

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Title: A BARMM Case Study: COVID-19 Agent-Based Model with Goal Optimization for Vaccine Distribution

Abstract

Preventive and control measures such as community quarantine, wearing face masks and social distancing have been widely used to limit the spread of COVID-19. Quarantine is used to lower the number of infectives, helping health facilities cope, but trade-offs with the economy can be observed. Different health and economic policies have various implications in the community. Thus, the idea of emergence through an agent-based model (ABM) is developed to observe the impact of various health policies on the spread of the disease.

Now that SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) vaccines are developed, it is very important to plan its distribution strategy. Combined with the ABM, a resource optimization model was proposed in this study to simulate the possible decisions of policymakers and to help them identify appropriate strategies for their constituents. Using the proposed model, it aims that it could simulate possible decisions of policymakers and could help them identify appropriate strategies for their constituents.

In this case study, simulations for different vaccination scenarios for the Bangsamoro region were analyzed.

Solution

Sample Implementation of Solution: https://barmm-abm-covid19-vaccination.herokuapp.com

To run the model, type

> python main.py

For more details of the model, please see the following preprints:

COVID-19 Agent-Based Model with Multi-objective Optimization for Vaccine Distribution

Protection after Quarantine: Insights from a Q-SEIR Model with Nonlinear Incidence Rates Applied to COVID-19

Modeling the dynamics of COVID-19 using Q-SEIR model with age-stratified infection probability

Age-stratified Infection Probabilities Combined with Quarantine-Modified SEIR Model in the Needs Assessments for COVID-19

Jupyter Notebooks

COVID19 Epidemiological Data - Exploratory Analysis

Vaccine Distribution using Different Prioritization Factors

Sensitivity Analysis

Scripts

Slurm Scripts for High-Performance Computing (HPC) cluster

Script for Summarized Results

Script for Summarized Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis on Infected Agents

Sensitivity Analysis on Died Agents

Sensitivity Analysis on Recovered Agents

Sensitivity Analysis on Vaccine Hesitancy effect on Infected Agents

Sensitivity Analysis on Vaccine Hesitancy effect on Died Agents

Sensitivity Analysis on Vaccine Hesitancy effect on Recovered Agents

#BARMMOpenData

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An agent-based model that simulates COVID-19 transmission considering policy restrictions, behavioral and disease-resistance factors as control measures to prevent further transmission of the virus. Additionally, a multi-objective optimization for equitable vaccine distribution can be applied.

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