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gefs
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Generative Forests in Python
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Updated
Jul 6, 2023 - Jupyter Notebook
An automated trading bot for Kalshi daily temperature prediction markets. It ingests real-time NWP model output (HRRR), live METAR airport observations, and GEFS ensemble forecasts to estimate same-day temperature outcomes and trade where its probability estimate diverges from the market price.
python open-source machine-learning time-series trading-bot nws metar quant lightgbm quantitative-finance python-bot algorithmic-trading automated-trading prediction-markets hrrr probability-calibration kelly-criterion gefs weather-forecasting kalshi
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Updated
May 4, 2026 - Python
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